Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 27, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
LDU Quito3 - 0Defensa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 LDU Quito (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, August 31 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-1 Defensa
Sunday, September 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, September 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
43
We said: LDU Quito 1-1 Defensa y Justicia
While the visitors' record has been nothing special of late, they have looked like a different team in this competition. Based on form, LDU Quito should win this match, but we are backing Defensa y Justicia to to keep this one level heading into the second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
49.06% ( 0.32) | 24.58% ( -0.48) | 26.36% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.43% ( 1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
