Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 4, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa0 - 0LDU Quito
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Defensa
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Defensa
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Defensa y Justicia 2-1 LDU Quito (LDU Quito win 4-2 on aggregate)
With all the pressure heaped onto the visitors who will try to hold onto a three-goal lead, Defensa should be free to go all out for the win. While Quito are likely to show up with a rather defensive gameplan, the margin currently separating the sides should be insurmountable for the hosts to overcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | LDU Quito |
45.15% ( -0.37) | 25.45% ( -0.2) | 29.4% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
