Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.