MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:48:52| >> :60:937:937:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 18, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez

Junior
2 - 0
Oriente

Borja (23' pen., 28')
Rosero (32'), Arias (53'), Angel (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sandoval (77')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Atletico Junior and Oriente Petrolero.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Junior

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Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Oriente Petrolero

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Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawOriente Petrolero
45.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.36% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 29.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.73% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.030999999999999 0.03)44.72% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.09% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.012 0.01)19.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (0.020000000000003 0.02)51.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Oriente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)28.15% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (0.025999999999996 0.03)63.83% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 45.8%
    Oriente Petrolero 29.84%
    Draw 24.36%
Atletico JuniorDrawOriente Petrolero
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 1.30am
Oriente
1-3
Junior
Guaycochea (51')
Garcia (38'), Roca (48'), Caire (90+3'), Quinonez (90+6')
Albornoz (36', 66'), Hinestroza (90+7')
Moreno (23'), Rosero (30'), Albornoz (43'), Arias (49')
rhs 2.0
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