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Fluminense
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 5, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
2 - 1
Junior

Ganso (5'), Henrique (74')
Nino (14'), Ganso (42'), Fred (75'), Nathan (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Borja (56')
Giraldo (14'), Albornoz (69'), Hinestroza (71'), Serje (79'), Arias (87')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fluminense and Atletico Junior.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fluminense vs. Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Atletico Junior

Last Six:
    Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
    Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 25.13%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

    Result
    FluminenseDrawAtletico Junior
    47.54%27.32%25.13%
    Both teams to score 45.32%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    40.74%59.25%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    20.33%79.66%
    Fluminense Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    74.99%25%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    40.33%59.66%
    Atletico Junior Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    60.43%39.57%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    23.74%76.25%
    Score Analysis
        Fluminense 47.53%
        Atletico Junior 25.13%
        Draw 27.32%
    FluminenseDrawAtletico Junior
    1-0 @ 13.71%
    2-0 @ 9.51%
    2-1 @ 8.81%
    3-0 @ 4.39%
    3-1 @ 4.07%
    3-2 @ 1.89%
    4-0 @ 1.52%
    4-1 @ 1.41%
    Other @ 2.22%
    Total : 47.53%
    		1-1 @ 12.71%
    0-0 @ 9.89%
    2-2 @ 4.09%
    Other @ 0.63%
    Total : 27.32%
    		0-1 @ 9.17%
    1-2 @ 5.89%
    0-2 @ 4.25%
    1-3 @ 1.82%
    0-3 @ 1.31%
    2-3 @ 1.26%
    Other @ 1.42%
    Total : 25.13%

    Head to Head
    Apr 14, 2022 1.30am
    Junior
    3-0
    Fluminense
    Moreno (10'), Borja (45+2' pen.), Sambueza (90+5')
    Giraldo (45+4'), Borja (49'), Cabrera (50'), Hinestroza (67')

    Cristiano (23'), Yago (25'), Manoel (49'), Martinelli (90+5')
    May 19, 2021 1.30am
    Fluminense
    1-2
    Junior
    Hernandez (75')
    Calegari (25'), Yago (90+2')
    Valencia (35'), Cetre (50')
    Vasquez (17'), Rosero (58'), Valencia (88'), Sambueza (90')
    May 7, 2021 1am
    Junior
    1-1
    Fluminense
    Borja (11' pen.)
    Martinez (35'), Viera (36'), Borja (39')
    Kayky (20')
    Nene (22'), Nino (28'), Barcelos (33')
    rhs 2.0
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