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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 5, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
2 - 0
Oriente

Luna Diale (13'), Roldan (56')
Ignacio Nardoni (29'), Peralta (38'), Corvalan (84')
Corvalan (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garcia (19'), Roca (25'), Zazpe (80')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union and Oriente Petrolero.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Union 1-2 Tigre
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Colon vs. Union
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Oriente Petrolero

Last Six:
    Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
    Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

    Result
    UnionDrawOriente Petrolero
    47.07%21.99%30.94%
    Both teams to score 67.07%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    67.26%32.73%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    45.58%54.42%
    Union Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    85.47%14.52%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    57.45%42.54%
    Oriente Petrolero Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    78.47%21.53%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    45.4%54.6%
    Score Analysis
        Union 47.07%
        Oriente Petrolero 30.94%
        Draw 21.99%
    UnionDrawOriente Petrolero
    2-1 @ 8.94%
    1-0 @ 6.03%
    2-0 @ 5.82%
    3-1 @ 5.75%
    3-2 @ 4.41%
    3-0 @ 3.74%
    4-1 @ 2.77%
    4-2 @ 2.13%
    4-0 @ 1.81%
    4-3 @ 1.09%
    5-1 @ 1.07%
    Other @ 3.51%
    Total : 47.07%
    		1-1 @ 9.27%
    2-2 @ 6.86%
    0-0 @ 3.13%
    3-3 @ 2.26%
    Other @ 0.47%
    Total : 21.99%
    		1-2 @ 7.11%
    0-1 @ 4.8%
    0-2 @ 3.69%
    1-3 @ 3.64%
    2-3 @ 3.51%
    0-3 @ 1.89%
    1-4 @ 1.4%
    2-4 @ 1.35%
    Other @ 3.54%
    Total : 30.94%

    Head to Head
    Apr 12, 2022 11.15pm
    Oriente
    1-3
    Union
    Dorrego (90+1')
    Suarez (18'), Mercado (35')
    Calderon (4'), Peralta (70'), Juarez (90+4')
    Esquivel (37'), Ignacio Nardoni (41'), Britez (90')
    rhs 2.0
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