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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 14, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez
Fluminense

Junior
3 - 0
Fluminense

Moreno (10'), Borja (45+2' pen.), Sambueza (90+5')
Giraldo (45+4'), Borja (49'), Cabrera (50'), Hinestroza (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cristiano (23'), Yago (25'), Manoel (49'), Martinelli (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Atletico Junior and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Junior

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Fluminense

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fluminense vs. Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawFluminense
41.11%24.59%34.3%
Both teams to score 58.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.91%44.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53%66.47%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46%54.54%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95%25.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28%59.72%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 41.11%
    Fluminense 34.3%
    Draw 24.58%
Atletico JuniorDrawFluminense
2-1 @ 8.81%
1-0 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 6.36%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.11%
1-1 @ 11.45%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.3%

How you voted: Junior vs Fluminense

Atletico Junior
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fluminense
50.0%
10
Head to Head
May 19, 2021 1.30am
Fluminense
1-2
Junior
Hernandez (75')
Calegari (25'), Yago (90+2')
Valencia (35'), Cetre (50')
Vasquez (17'), Rosero (58'), Valencia (88'), Sambueza (90')
May 7, 2021 1am
Junior
1-1
Fluminense
Borja (11' pen.)
Martinez (35'), Viera (36'), Borja (39')
Kayky (20')
Nene (22'), Nino (28'), Barcelos (33')
rhs 2.0
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