Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 18, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Aucas2 - 1Guayaquil City
FT(HT: 1-1)
Parrales (28')
Carlos Humanante Vargas (45+1'), Parrales (67')
Andres Vargas Leon (80')
Carlos Humanante Vargas (45+1'), Parrales (67')
Andres Vargas Leon (80')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Aucas and Guayaquil City.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Guayaquil City had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Guayaquil City win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aucas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aucas | Draw | Guayaquil City |
| 49.55% | 24.1% | 26.35% |
| Both teams to score 55.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
