After a solid home success over Atletico MG last time out, Athletico Paranaense should be confident of putting the final nail in the coffin of Atletico Goianiense's survival dreams.
The Dragon have been extremely poor travellers across 2024, and we cannot envisage the visitors managing a miraculous victory at Ligga Arena.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 61.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.
-0.11) 
0.43) 
