Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Gerard Houllier
Lyon4 - 1Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lyon Women 2-0 Roma Women
Roma will be looking to give a better account of themselves after failing to trouble Lyon at the Stadio Tre Fontane last week, but we think that they will experience another difficult outing against a Lyon side their firing on all cylinders at both ends of the pitch. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon Women | Draw | Roma Women |
50.3% ( -1.35) | 22.09% ( 0.34) | 27.61% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.21% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
