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World Cup
Colombia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Ecuador national football team

Colombia
vs.
Ecuador

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Colombia and Ecuador.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 4-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Next Game: Uruguay vs. Colombia
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Colombia10719
3Ecuador11619
4Brazil11617
5Uruguay10716
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 4-0 Bolivia
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Colombia10719
3Ecuador11619
4Brazil11617
5Uruguay10716
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colombia win with a probability of 62.61%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Ecuador has a probability of 14.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Ecuador win it is 0-1 (6.02%).

Result
ColombiaDrawEcuador
62.61% (-0.163 -0.16) 22.87% (0.109 0.11) 14.52% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 41.76% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.53% (-0.298 -0.3)55.47% (0.298 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.34% (-0.245 -0.25)76.66% (0.246 0.25)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (-0.16300000000001 -0.16)17.3% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.35% (-0.288 -0.29)47.65% (0.288 0.29)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.5% (-0.101 -0.1)49.5% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.69% (-0.071 -0.07)84.31% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 62.61%
    Ecuador 14.52%
    Draw 22.87%
ColombiaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 15.02% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.71% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 62.61%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 14.52%

Who will win Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Ecuador?

Colombia
Draw
Ecuador
Colombia
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Ecuador
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2023 12.30am
Group Stage
Ecuador
0-0
Colombia
Hincapie (33'), Gruezo (41')
Mosquera (9'), Sanchez (25'), Arias (27'), Cuesta (77')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-0
Ecuador
Estupinan (54'), Mena (77')
> Preview
Jun 14, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Colombia
1-0
Ecuador
Uribe (25'), Munoz (79'), Borre (90')
Valencia (87')
> Preview
Nov 17, 2020 9pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
6-1
Colombia
Arboleda (7'), Mena (9'), Estrada (32'), Arreaga (39'), Plata (78'), Estupinan (90+1')
Ibarra (45+3'), Perlaza (51'), Plata (60'), Mendez (68')
Plata (80')
Rodriguez (45+1' pen.)
Lerma (13'), Murillo (53'), Cuadrado (66'), Suarez (86'), Fabra (90')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
0-1
Colombia

Arreaga (65')
Uribe (42')
Barrios (80')
rhs 2.0
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