Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Guarani3 - 1Ameliano
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guarani and Sportivo Ameliano.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Sportivo Ameliano win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guarani would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guarani | Draw | Sportivo Ameliano |
47.74% ( -0.34) | 25.27% ( -0.09) | 26.99% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
