Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
Internacional0 - 0Melgar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-0 Internacional
Sunday, August 7 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 7 at 10pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Flamengo | 21 | 13 | 36 |
| 6 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 21 | 3 | 32 |
Last Game: Melgar 0-0 Internacional
Thursday, August 4 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, August 4 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
We said: Internacional 2-0 Melgar
Melgar have had a record-breaking run in this season's Copa Sudamericana, but we think that it is likely to come to an end in Porto Alegre on Thursday. The hosts have more individual quality and, providing that they keep their cool with 11 men on the pitch, should have too much in front of their home fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Melgar had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Melgar win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Melgar |
53.44% ( 0.08) | 25.96% ( -0.08) | 20.6% |
| Both teams to score 44.13% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.74% ( 0.27) | 58.26% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.11% ( 0.21) | 78.89% ( -0.21) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( 0.14) | 21.91% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.83% ( 0.22) | 55.17% ( -0.22) |
| Melgar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.51% ( 0.15) | 43.49% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.3% ( 0.13) | 79.7% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Internacional 53.44%
Melgar 20.6%
Draw 25.95%
| Internacional | Draw | Melgar |
| 1-0 @ 14.46% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.6% |
How you voted: Internacional vs Melgar
Internacional
72.2%Draw
16.7%Melgar
11.1%18
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 11.15pm
Form Guide
