Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín
Melgar2 - 0Aucas
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Melgar and Aucas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Aucas had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Aucas win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melgar | Draw | Aucas |
| 43.89% | 23.72% | 32.39% |
| Both teams to score 61.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.44% | 40.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.06% | 62.93% |
| Melgar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% | 18.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.81% | 50.18% |
| Aucas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% | 24.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.07% | 58.93% |
| Score Analysis |
Melgar 43.89%
Aucas 32.39%
Draw 23.71%
| Melgar | Draw | Aucas |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-1 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.39% |
Form Guide
