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Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Melgar

Melgar
1 - 0
Cienciano

Cuesta (19')
Orzan (57'), Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rinaldi (14'), Romero (16'), Estrada (45'), Fuentes (79')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Melgar and Cienciano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Cienciano

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Melgar 1-0 Cienciano
Wednesday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Cienciano had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Cienciano win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Melgar in this match.

Result
MelgarDrawCienciano
48.71%24.31%26.97%
Both teams to score 55.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.69%46.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4%68.59%
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92%19.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31%50.68%
Cienciano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97%31.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66%67.33%
Score Analysis
    Melgar 48.72%
    Cienciano 26.97%
    Draw 24.31%
MelgarDrawCienciano
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 48.72%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 5.92%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.93%
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 26.97%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2022 12.30am
Cienciano
1-1
Melgar
Estrada (48')
Cossio (38'), Fuentes (45'), Romero (51'), Ibanez (90+3')
Cuesta (23' pen.)
Deneumostier (14'), Orzan (29'), Tandazo (40'), Cuesta (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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