Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.