We said: Lecce 1-2 Sassuolo
Sassuolo could compound Lecce's weekend woes, as the Serie B side look strong contenders for promotion this season and have some impressive attacking options.
With their hosts having one eye on a big league game on Friday, the Neroverdi can capitalise and continue their cup run into the third round.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.