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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Sassuolo logo

Lecce
1 - 1
Sassuolo

Krstovic (48')
Rafia (44'), Krstovic (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berardi (22' pen.)
Boloca (1'), Holmgren Pedersen (43'), Marco Ferrari (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Napoli
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Monza
Monday, October 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Sassuolo

Sassuolo have never lost to Lecce in six previous meetings - winning on three occasions, including completing the double last season with two 1-0 wins. While it is never quite clear what Sassuolo will show up, Lecce may be reeling from two quick-fire defeats last week and could struggle to maintain their position near the top, making the visitors slight favourites to keep up their fine run in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSassuolo
43.4% (-0.219 -0.22) 24.68% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 31.91% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.71% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.77% (-0.286 -0.29)45.22% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (-0.274 -0.27)67.57% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (-0.218 -0.22)20.91% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (-0.343 -0.34)53.63% (0.338 0.34)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)27.04% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)62.4% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 43.4%
    Sassuolo 31.91%
    Draw 24.68%
LecceDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Lecce vs Sassuolo

Lecce
29.5%
Draw
19.2%
Sassuolo
51.3%
78
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sassuolo
1-0
Lecce
Berardi (40')
Henrique (37'), Berardi (55'), Rogerio (66'), Frattesi (77'), Toljan (90+4')

Gonzalez (68')
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 3, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 11
Lecce
2-2
Sassuolo
Lapadula (18'), Falco (42')
Calderoni (60'), Shakhov (74')
Toljan (35'), Berardi (85')
Locatelli (37'), Toljan (45'), Obiang (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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