Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce1 - 0Cagliari
We said: Lecce 1-2 Cagliari
Lecce could lose their first three games for just a third time in their Serie A history - and the first since 1997 - as they lack thrust in the final third and Cagliari have settled into their post-Claudio Ranieri era quite smoothly. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Cagliari |
36.12% ( 0.5) | 27.37% ( 0.11) | 36.5% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.14% ( -0.43) | 55.85% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( -0.35) | 76.97% ( 0.35) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( 0.1) | 29.6% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.36% ( 0.12) | 65.63% ( -0.12) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% ( -0.58) | 29.36% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.65% ( -0.71) | 65.34% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 36.12%
Cagliari 36.5%
Draw 27.37%
| Lecce | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.12% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.5% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Cagliari
Lecce
16.3%Draw
23.3%Cagliari
60.5%43
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 5pm
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Cagliari
0-0
Lecce
Nov 25, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lecce
2-2
Cagliari
