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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Lecce logo

Torino
0 - 0
Lecce

FT

Pierret (23'), Morente (45+1'), Rafia (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Torino
Friday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Lecce

Despite Torino's admirable start to the new campaign, Lecce have been better travellers under Gotti, underscored by two road defeats — at San Siro against Milan (3-0) and Inter (2-0) — in six compared to three defeats in seven on their turf. Thus, the former midfielder will back his side to avoid losing in Turin and avoid a fifth consecutive league loss against the Granata. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawLecce
48.35% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 28.03% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.62% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 42.23% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.48% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.52% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)82.12% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.1% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.15% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.14% (0.066000000000003 0.07)42.85% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.83% (0.056999999999999 0.06)79.17% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Torino 48.34%
    Lecce 23.62%
    Draw 28.03%
TorinoDrawLecce
1-0 @ 15.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 48.34%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Torino vs Lecce

Torino
79.5%
Draw
16.7%
Lecce
3.8%
78
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 25
Torino
2-0
Lecce
Bellanova (50'), Zapata (81')
Djidji (44')

Pongracic (41'), Blin (51'), Dorgu (78')
Pongracic (70')
Oct 28, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Lecce
0-1
Torino

Gendrey (35'), Rafia (40'), Gallo (78')
Buongiorno (41')
Gineitis (10'), Linetty (25'), Lazaro (35'), Rodriguez (71'), Tameze (90+4')
Juric (90+6')
Mar 12, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Lecce
0-2
Torino
Singo (20'), Sanabria (23')
Sep 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Torino
1-0
Lecce
Vlasic (40')
Feb 2, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lecce
4-0
Torino
Deiola (11'), Barak (19'), Falco (64'), Lapadula (78' pen.)
Majer (33'), Deiola (43'), Lapadula (76')

N'Koulou (12'), Meite (18'), Aina (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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