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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Lecce logo

Torino
0 - 0
Lecce

FT

Pierret (23'), Morente (45+1'), Rafia (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Torino
Friday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Lecce

Despite Torino's admirable start to the new campaign, Lecce have been better travellers under Gotti, underscored by two road defeats — at San Siro against Milan (3-0) and Inter (2-0) — in six compared to three defeats in seven on their turf. Thus, the former midfielder will back his side to avoid losing in Turin and avoid a fifth consecutive league loss against the Granata. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawLecce
48.35% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 28.03% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.62% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 42.23% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.48% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.52% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)82.12% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.1% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.15% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.14% (0.066000000000003 0.07)42.85% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.83% (0.056999999999999 0.06)79.17% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Torino 48.34%
    Lecce 23.62%
    Draw 28.03%
TorinoDrawLecce
1-0 @ 15.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 48.34%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Torino vs Lecce

Torino
79.5%
Draw
16.7%
Lecce
3.8%
78
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 25
Torino
2-0
Lecce
Bellanova (50'), Zapata (81')
Djidji (44')

Pongracic (41'), Blin (51'), Dorgu (78')
Pongracic (70')
Oct 28, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Lecce
0-1
Torino

Gendrey (35'), Rafia (40'), Gallo (78')
Buongiorno (41')
Gineitis (10'), Linetty (25'), Lazaro (35'), Rodriguez (71'), Tameze (90+4')
Juric (90+6')
Mar 12, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Lecce
0-2
Torino
Singo (20'), Sanabria (23')
Sep 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Torino
1-0
Lecce
Vlasic (40')
Feb 2, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lecce
4-0
Torino
Deiola (11'), Barak (19'), Falco (64'), Lapadula (78' pen.)
Majer (33'), Deiola (43'), Lapadula (76')

N'Koulou (12'), Meite (18'), Aina (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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