Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 14, 2022 at 4pm UK

Malawi
2 - 1
Zimbabwe

Mhango (43', 58')
Sanudi (49'), Kakhobwe (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wadi (38')
Kangwa (20'), Hadebe (29'), Madzongwe (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Malawi and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With so much at stake, we expect both teams to be fired up which should make for an open and end-to-end contest. That said, we are predicting a stalemate with honours even come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malawi would win this match.

Result
Malawi	Draw	Zimbabwe
43.41%	25.5%	31.08%

Both teams to score 54.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83%

49.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77%

71.23%

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42%

22.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.83%

56.17%

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.46%

29.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.44%

65.55%

Score Analysis

Malawi 43.41%

Zimbabwe 31.08%

Draw 25.5%

Malawi	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.39% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.41%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.08%