COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2021 at 11am UK
Wolfson Stadium
Malawi1 - 1Namibia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Namibia |
| 37.22% | 26.7% | 36.08% |
| Both teams to score 51.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% | 53.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% | 74.73% |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% | 27.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.82% | 63.18% |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% | 28.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.96% | 64.04% |
| Score Analysis |
Malawi 37.21%
Namibia 36.08%
Draw 26.7%
| Malawi | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.21% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.08% |
How you voted: Malawi vs Namibia
Malawi
20.0%Draw
8.0%Namibia
72.0%25
