COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 11, 2021 at 4pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Mozambique2 - 0Malawi
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Malawi |
| 45.21% | 26.76% | 28.03% |
| Both teams to score 49.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
