Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.98%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.26%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
