COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 14, 2021 at 11am UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Senegal2 - 1Malawi
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Malawi |
| 54.8% | 23% | 22.2% |
| Both teams to score 54.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
