Le Mans0 - 2PSG
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Saturday, February 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
for
We said: Le Mans 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
While Le Mans will look to show they are no pushovers, aiming for one of the biggest upsets in the competition's history, PSG are expected to be too strong an opponent for the third-tier side, making an away win almost certain. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Le Mans had a probability of 11.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Le Mans win it was 1-0 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Le Mans | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
11.1% ( 0.85) | 17.68% ( 0.71) | 71.22% ( -1.56) |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.12% ( -0.81) | 41.88% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.72% ( -0.82) | 64.28% ( 0.82) |
| Le Mans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.39% ( 1.07) | 46.61% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.81% ( 0.8) | 82.19% ( -0.8) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.52% ( -0.61) | 10.47% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.89% ( -1.38) | 34.11% ( 1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Mans | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.82% Total : 11.1% | 1-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.68% | 0-2 @ 12.42% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 9.35% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 7.13% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 5.27% ( -0.37)1-4 @ 4.02% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 2.38% ( -0.23)1-5 @ 1.82% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.06% Total : 71.21% |
