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Stuttgart
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
PSG logo

Stuttgart
1 - 4
PSG

Pacho (78' og.)
Stiller (53'), Karazor (70')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Barcola (6'), Dembele (17', 35', 54')
Neves (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Stuttgart and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Reims
Saturday, January 25 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Stuttgart 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain

The bookmakers have made a draw the most likely result in this one, and even without the permutations surrounding the fixture, that would probably have been the most likely outcome anyway. PSG are in excellent form, having now gone 12 games unbeaten, but Stuttgart have also shown their mettle, after four wins from four to start the year, despite suffering defeat in a tricky trip to Mainz at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawParis Saint-Germain
36.37% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 23.56% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 40.07% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.06% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (0.082000000000001 0.08)38.76% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (0.087000000000003 0.09)61.07% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)21.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5% (0.035999999999994 0.04)54.5% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (0.055999999999997 0.06)19.7% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3% (0.090000000000003 0.09)51.7% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 36.37%
    Paris Saint-Germain 40.07%
    Draw 23.56%
StuttgartDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs PSG

Stuttgart
Draw
Paris Saint-Germain
Stuttgart
16.5%
Draw
24.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
58.8%
267
rhs 2.0
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