Lens1 - 2PSG
We said: Lens 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
PSG's unbeaten league run and strong away form make them favourites against the hosts, who have struggled in this fixture. While last weekend's victory offers a boost for Lens, Les Parisiens' firepower, led by Dembele and Barcola, should be enough to secure another win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 0-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Lens win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
20.98% ( -0.04) | 21.11% ( 0.09) | 57.91% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.68% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.06% ( -0.51) | 37.94% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.8% ( -0.55) | 60.19% ( 0.55) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( -0.34) | 31.47% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.14% ( -0.39) | 67.86% ( 0.39) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.08% ( -0.18) | 12.92% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.64% ( -0.37) | 39.36% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 20.98% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.81% Total : 57.91% |
