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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
PSG logo

Lens
vs.
PSG

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Lens
Sunday, January 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Espaly-Saint-Marcel 2-4 PSG
Wednesday, January 15 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We say: Lens 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

PSG's unbeaten league run and strong away form make them favourites against the hosts, who have struggled in this fixture. While last weekend's victory offers a boost for Lens, Les Parisiens' firepower, led by Dembele and Barcola, should be enough to secure another win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw has a probability of 21.1% and a win for Lens has a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.51%) and 0-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Lens win it is 2-1 (5.56%).

Result
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
20.98% (-2.342 -2.34) 21.11% (-1.172 -1.17) 57.91% (3.517 3.52)
Both teams to score 59.68% (0.803 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.06% (2.569 2.57)37.94% (-2.566 -2.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.8% (2.69 2.69)60.19% (-2.688 -2.69)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (-0.628 -0.63)31.47% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (-0.734 -0.73)67.86% (0.73699999999999 0.74)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.08% (1.954 1.95)12.92% (-1.951 -1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.64% (3.854 3.85)39.36% (-3.849 -3.85)
Score Analysis
    Lens 20.98%
    Paris Saint-Germain 57.91%
    Draw 21.11%
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.56% (-0.487 -0.49)
1-0 @ 4.7% (-0.694 -0.69)
2-0 @ 2.72% (-0.456 -0.46)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 20.98%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.661 -0.66)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.52 -0.52)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.11%
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.51% (0.185 0.18)
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.419 -0.42)
1-3 @ 6.72% (0.491 0.49)
0-3 @ 5.81% (0.517 0.52)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.22 0.22)
1-4 @ 3.44% (0.469 0.47)
0-4 @ 2.97% (0.451 0.45)
2-4 @ 1.99% (0.242 0.24)
1-5 @ 1.41% (0.276 0.28)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.255 0.26)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 57.91%

Who will win Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and PSG?

Lens
Draw
Paris Saint-Germain
Lens
16.7%
Draw
0.0%
Paris Saint-Germain
83.3%
6
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 8pm
Round of 64
Lens
1-1
PSG
(Aggregate 1-1 | PSG win 4-3 on penalties)
N'Zola (66')
Still (58'), Khusanov (75'), N'Zola (76')
Ramos (70')
Hakimi (67'), Marquinhos (75')
Nov 2, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 10
PSG
1-0
Lens
Dembele (4')
Marquinhos (57')

Khusanov (45+1'), Still (45+5'), Gradit (47'), Diouf (62'), Danso (86')
Khusanov (60')
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Lens
0-2
PSG

Gradit (45+3')
Barcola (30'), Mbappe (89')
Soler (52')
Aug 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
PSG
3-1
Lens
Asensio (44'), Mbappe (52', 90')
Guilavogui (90+5')
Medina (19'), Haise (31'), Sotoca (42'), Spierings (79'), Machado (82'), Gradit (87')
Apr 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
3-1
Lens
Mbappe (31'), Vitinha (37'), Messi (40')
Frankowski (60' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269


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