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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
PSG logo

Brest
2 - 5
PSG

Del Castillo (50'), Ajorque (71')
Sima (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (29', 57', 62'), Ramos (89', 90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Brest 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain

After an exhausting week for PSG, the level may drop slightly once again in this domestic fixture, as it did against Reims last week, and this plucky Brest side are capable of causing them problems. While PSG are still unbeaten this season, four of the five occasions where they have dropped points have come immediately after a Champions League fixture, while Brest have taken 18 points from a possible 21 in their games straight after a European game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
15.63% (0.322 0.32) 19.73% (0.129 0.13) 64.64% (-0.449 -0.45)
Both teams to score 53.97% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (0.065999999999995 0.07)40.47% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (0.067 0.07)62.85% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2% (0.461 0.46)38.8% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.47% (0.434 0.43)75.53% (-0.431 -0.43)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2% (-0.102 -0.1)11.8% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.98% (-0.221 -0.22)37.02% (0.222 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Brest 15.63%
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.63%
    Draw 19.73%
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 4.39% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 4.33% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.05% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.38% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 15.63%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.065 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.73%
0-2 @ 10.45% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
0-3 @ 7.45% (-0.115 -0.11)
1-3 @ 7.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.98% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 64.63%

How you voted: Brest vs PSG

Brest
Draw
Paris Saint-Germain
Brest
9.3%
Draw
27.9%
Paris Saint-Germain
62.8%
43
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 4
PSG
3-1
Brest
Dembele (42', 74'), Ruiz (73')
Beraldo (26'), Mendes (28')
Del Castillo (29' pen.)
Camara (39'), Ajorque (49'), Chardonnet (59')
Feb 7, 2024 8.10pm
Round of 16
PSG
3-1
Brest
Mbappe (34'), Pereira (37'), Ramos (90+2')
Mounie (65')
Magnetti (14'), Brassier (60')
Brassier (69')
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
PSG
2-2
Brest
Asensio (38'), Kolo (45')
Hernandez (26'), Mbappe (53'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Barcola (90+2')
Barcola (90+4')
Camara (55'), Pereira Lage (80')
Lees-Melou (32'), Lala (53'), Brassier (59')
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
2-3
PSG
Mounie (43'), Le Douaron (52')
Roy (0'), Brassier (86'), Martin (87'), Bizot (88')
Zaire-Emery (16'), Mbappe (28', 89')
Hakimi (87'), Ruiz (88'), Mbappe (89'), Kolo (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Brest
1-2
PSG
Honorat (43')
Soler (37'), Mbappe (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG32246285335278
2Marseille32185967442359
3MonacoMonaco32177861372458
4Nice32169760392157
5Lille32169750331757
6StrasbourgStrasbourg32169753391457
7Lyon321661063441954
8Lens32146123738-148
9Brest32145135053-347
10Auxerre32118134647-141
11Rennes32122184746138
12Toulouse32108144040038
13Reims3289153243-1133
14Angers3296173050-2033
15NantesNantes32711143551-1632
16Le HavreLe Havre3294193666-3031
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3276193574-3927
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3244242272-5016


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