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Coupe de France | Round of 64
Jan 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Massabielle

Les Herbiers
2 - 2
Chateauroux

Billy (66', 70')
Hamelin (96')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mille (45+4'), Pires (90+6')
Durbant (23')
Les Herbiers win 3-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between Les Herbiers and Chateauroux.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Les Herbiers 0-3 Reims
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chateauroux 1-3 PSG
Friday, January 6 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Les Herbiers win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Chateauroux had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Les Herbiers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Chateauroux win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Les HerbiersDrawChateauroux
43.78% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 25.64% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 30.58% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.87% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (0.102 0.1)49.95% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (0.094999999999999 0.09)71.94% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Les Herbiers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (0.088999999999999 0.09)22.74% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (0.132 0.13)56.41% (-0.127 -0.13)
Chateauroux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.28% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (0.012 0.01)66.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Les Herbiers 43.78%
    Chateauroux 30.58%
    Draw 25.64%
Les HerbiersDrawChateauroux
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.58%

How you voted: Les Herbiers vs Chateauroux

Les Herbiers
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Chateauroux
11.1%
9
rhs 2.0
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