Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Chateauroux had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Chateauroux win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
