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[monks data]
Czech Republic national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
Wembley Stadium
England national football team

Czech Republic
0 - 1
England


Boril (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sterling (12')

Preview: Czech Republic vs. England - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship clash between the Czech Republic and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Euro 2020 surprise package the Czech Republic and England - blowing hot and cold - will vie to qualify from Group D as winners when they do battle at Wembley on Tuesday night.

Both teams claimed a point from their most recent encounters, as the Three Lions could not find a way past Scotland while the Czech Republic managed to hold Croatia to a 1-1 draw.


Match preview

Czech Republic's Patrik Schick scores their first goal from the penalty spot against Croatia at Euro 2020 on June 18, 2021© Reuters

After a full Premier League season of controversial refereeing decisions and VAR reviews sparking heated debates week in week out, a Euro 2020 campaign without such dramas has been a breath of fresh air, but eyebrows were raised when Dejan Lovren's flailing elbow on Patrik Schick led to a penalty on matchday two.

A bloodied Schick cleaned himself off before dispatching the resulting spot kick as Dominik Livakovic went the wrong way, but Croatia were level within two minutes of the restart as Ivan Perisic cut inside on his right foot before firing home to restore parity for the Chequered Ones.

Neither team could find the second goal which they so craved during the rest of the encounter, but Jaroslav Silhavy was satisfied with a point against the 2018 World Cup runners-up, and results on Monday means that the Czech Republic have already advanced to the knockout stages for just the fourth time as an independent nation.

Schick's game-winning brace against Scotland on matchday one means that the Czech Republic currently lead the way at the top of the rankings, and so long as they can avoid defeat against England, they will make it out of the group as winners and set up a tie with the runners-up from the group of death.

It is mathematically impossible for the Czech Republic to finish lower than third in the group, so the prospect of Silhavy's men advancing as one of the best third-placed teams is still very much alive, but the group leaders have every reason to be optimistic about their chances of claiming a famous scalp over an uninspired England.

England's John Stones hits the post against Scotland at Euro 2020 on June 18, 2021© Reuters

As the Tartan Army made their presence felt in the English capital, Steve Clarke's men certainly made their presence felt on the Wembley turf, and England were arguably fortunate to come away with a point in a 0-0 draw against their neighbours.

Another uninspiring performance from talisman Harry Kane did not help matters, but Scotland showed a passion and desire that was devoid in the Three Lions' side throughout the 90 minutes, and in a familiar sight, the pressure is piling on Gareth Southgate's shoulders once again.

However, England's last-16 fate remains in their own hands thanks to their opening-day victory over Croatia, and the second-placed Three Lions have had their spot in the knockout stages confirmed due to results elsewhere, while a win would see them leapfrog the Czech Republic at the top.

Just like in Russia three years ago, a runners-up place could see England rewarded with a friendlier tie in the next round versus the runners-up of Group E - although that could very well be Spain - and failure to sink the Czechs would not exactly lead to high hopes for the rest of the summer.

Southgate would have been satisfied to see his side keep their fourth clean sheet on the bounce against Scotland, though, and they thrashed the Czech Republic 5-0 at Wembley during Euro 2020 qualification, but their upcoming opponents gained revenge in a 2-1 success back in October 2019.

Czech Republic European Championship form:
  • W
  • D

Czech Republic form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

England European Championship form:
  • W
  • D

England form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Harry Maguire in training for England on June 10, 2021© Reuters

The Czech Republic have no fresh injury concerns to contend with for their final group game, as Schick recovered from his bloodied episode to net his third goal of the tournament last time out.

The Bayer Leverkusen forward is one of only two players - the other being Cristiano Ronaldo - to net a trio of goals at Euro 2020 so far, and he has been tipped by Silhavy to finish as the tournament's top goalscorer.

Alex Kral could potentially replace Tomas Holes in the middle of the park, but the Czechs otherwise have no need to fix what is not broken.

As for England, Harry Maguire was an unused substitute for the goalless draw with Scotland and should come into contention for a start here, although it would be harsh to see Tyrone Mings dropped.

Jordan Henderson could also challenge Kalvin Phillips for a spot in midfield but may be unsuccessful in that regard, while Southgate will surely ponder changes in the final third given his side's toothless performance on Friday.

Jack Grealish is a name that England fans have been crying out for and they may finally get their wish on Tuesday, although the Aston Villa man reportedly trained individually on Saturday in a bid to shake off some discomfort.

Jadon Sancho has not played a single minute at the Euros but is another name in the hat for Tuesday, while Kane is not expected to be dropped despite his struggles at the tournament so far.

The England camp have also been hit by the news that Mason Mount and Ben Chilwell have been forced to isolate following close contact with the COVID-positive Billy Gilmour, and both players have now been ruled out of the contest.

Czech Republic possible starting lineup:
Vaclik; Coufal, Kalas, Celustka, Boril; Soucek, Kral; Masopust, Darida, Jankto; Schick

England possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Walker, Stones, Maguire, Shaw; Rice, Phillips; Sancho, Foden, Grealish; Kane


SM words green background

We say: Czech Republic 1-2 England

With Schick firing on all cylinders and catching the eye of fans all across the continent, a fired-up Czech Republic ought to give England a good run for their money given their positive start to proceedings.

Southgate - once again - is under huge pressure to select a starting XI capable of boosting the nation's morale with a free-flowing attacking performance, and with some peripheral names in the final third hoping to be given the opportunity to impress, we are still confident that England can prevail by a narrow margin and progress as group winners.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Czech Republic had a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 0-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Czech Republic win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Czech Republic vs England

Czech Republic
22.3%
Draw
21.5%
England
56.2%
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Patrik Schick celebrates scoring for the Czech Republic against Scotland at Euro 2020 on June 14, 2021
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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