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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 9
May 21, 2024 at 6pm UK
Ceres Park
FC Copenhagen

Aarhus
3 - 2
Copenhagen

Emil Madsen (15', 28', 45+2')
Poulsen (59'), Andersen (88'), Beijmo (89')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Oskarsson (13', 80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Copenhagen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aarhus 0-1 Silkeborg
Thursday, May 16 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Midtjylland
Thursday, May 16 at 7pm in Danish Superliga

We said: Aarhus 1-2 Copenhagen

Copenhagen's away form this season has been excellent, while Aarhus have struggled for consistency at home. We are expecting Tuesday's contest to be close in terms of the scoreline, but Copenhagen have enough quality to navigate their way to a hugely-important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Aarhus win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
AarhusDrawCopenhagen
22.34% (-0.303 -0.3) 23.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 54.4% (0.312 0.31)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (-0.322 -0.32)45.98% (0.32899999999999 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72% (-0.306 -0.31)68.28% (0.313 0.31)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)34.75% (0.467 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.491 -0.49)71.48% (0.497 0.5)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)16.8% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)46.77% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 22.34%
    Copenhagen 54.4%
    Draw 23.25%
AarhusDrawCopenhagen
1-0 @ 6.17% (0.008 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.82% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.05% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 22.34%
1-1 @ 11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.29% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 5.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.52% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.46% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 54.4%

How you voted: Aarhus vs Copenhagen

Aarhus
4.4%
Draw
8.9%
Copenhagen
86.7%
45
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 5
Copenhagen
3-2
Aarhus
Oskarsson (57', 85', 90+3')
Claesson (43'), Falk (82')
Kahl (67'), Anker (90+4')
Knudsen (20'), Rosler (21')
Dec 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Copenhagen
1-2
Aarhus
Achouri (58')
Boilesen (48'), Sorensen (59')
Poulsen (8'), Tingager (34')
Poulsen (1'), Kahl (44'), Brandhof (80'), Hansen (90+4')
Oct 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 11
Aarhus
1-1
Copenhagen
Serra (73')
Knoester (32'), Kahl (75'), Mortensen (78')
Falk (90+3')
Diks (83')
Diks (90+5')
May 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 8
Copenhagen
4-3
Aarhus
Goncalves (9' pen., 18'), Larsson (76'), Diks (87')
Jelert (35'), Sorensen (50'), Lund Jensen (84')
Mortensen (29'), Anderson (39'), Yakob (53')
Aurel Bisseck (8'), Molgaard (49'), Haugen (90+7')
Apr 23, 2023 5pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AarhusAarhus1576229151427
2Copenhagen1576227171027
3FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland158342722527
4SilkeborgSilkeborg156722821725
5RandersRanders156632718924
6Brondby156542820823
7Nordsjaelland156542826223
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10SonderjyskESonderjyskE153391735-1812
11Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub151771120-910
12Vejle1513111635-196


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