Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Arbroath has a probability of 34.28% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Arbroath win is 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.45%).
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Arbroath |
41.13% ( 0.04) | 24.58% ( -0.01) | 34.28% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.87% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.94% ( 0.02) | 44.06% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.56% ( 0.02) | 66.44% ( -0.03) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.53% ( 0.03) | 21.47% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.5% ( 0.04) | 54.5% ( -0.05) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% ( -0.01) | 25.04% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.28% ( -0.01) | 59.71% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Arbroath |
2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |