Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.