Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.