Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.