Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.