Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.