Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 77.93%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.49%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
77.93% ( 0.12)	14.07% ( -0.07)	8% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.32% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.52% (

0.17)

34.47% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.6% (

0.19)

56.4% (

-0.19)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.86% (

0.06)

7.14% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.01% (

0.16)

25.98% (

-0.16)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.03% (

0.01)

47.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.79% (

0.01)

83.21% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Groningen 77.91%

Jong FC Utrecht 8%

Draw 14.07%

Groningen	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 77.91%	1-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 14.07%	0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 8%