Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.