Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.58%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 2-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
