MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 02:28:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
VVV-Venlo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 34
Apr 13, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
Covebo Stadion - De Koel

VVV-Venlo
4 - 1
Helmond

Sierra (41'), van Zijl (70'), Foor (80'), Kromah (89')
Gyamfi (43'), Ketting (74'), Braem (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sits (90')
Frodi Ingason (16')
Absalem (49')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between VVV-Venlo and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oss 2-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, April 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 2-2 Telstar
Saturday, April 5 at 3.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.

Result
VVV-VenloDrawHelmond Sport
43.41% (0.122 0.12) 25% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 31.6% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 56.5% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.125 -0.13)46.75% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.117 -0.12)69.01% (0.11699999999999 0.12)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (0.0049999999999955 0)21.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)54.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)27.99% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (-0.193 -0.19)63.63% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    VVV-Venlo 43.41%
    Helmond Sport 31.6%
    Draw 24.99%
VVV-VenloDrawHelmond Sport
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 43.41%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.6%

How you voted: VVV-Venlo vs Helmond

VVV-Venlo
Draw
Helmond Sport
VVV-Venlo
41.7%
Draw
50.0%
Helmond Sport
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 4
Helmond
3-0
VVV-Venlo
Daneels (27'), Van den Hurk (71'), Scholz (90+1')
Ostrc (30'), van Hove (53')

Janssen (26'), Jansson (39')
Mar 1, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 28
Helmond
1-1
VVV-Venlo
Schroyen (63')
Schroyen (51'), Ludwig (64')
Verheijen (32')
Rutten (60')
Oct 1, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 8
VVV-Venlo
0-4
Helmond

Kaastrup (45+3')
Botos (8'), Lorentzen (48'), Schroyen (63'), Kaars (64')
Amuzu (45+1'), Schroyen (45+3'), Lorentzen (52'), van Vlerken (67')
May 5, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 36
Helmond
1-1
VVV-Venlo
Arias (75')
Braken (68')
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
VVV-Venlo
1-1
Helmond
Venema (31')
Van Vlerken (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam35244780404076
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior35208766363068
3ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag361910759411867
4Dordrecht36198965442165
5Cambuur362051158391965
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap351781066452159
7TelstarTelstar3616101065452058
8EmmenEmmen35165145447753
9Den BoschDen Bosch35149125145651
10Roda JC361310134753-649
11Helmond SportHelmond351210135255-346
12Jong AZJong AZ35129146360345
13FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven35129145360-745
14VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo35108173859-2138
15MVV MaastrichtMVV36910175158-737
16TOP OssOss36812162959-3036
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax3588193651-1532
18Jong PSVJong PSV3576225278-2627
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht35311212776-4920
20Vitesse361010164970-211


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!