Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Telstar win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	Telstar
49.59% ( -0.89)	24.94% ( 0.32)	25.46% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 52.44% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.89% (

-0.88)

50.11% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.92% (

-0.79)

72.08% (

0.8)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.77% (

-0.72)

20.22% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.45% (

-1.16)

52.55% (

1.16)

Telstar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.74%

34.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04% (

70.95%

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 49.59%

Telstar 25.46%

Draw 24.94%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	Telstar
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.59%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.46%