MX23RW : Sunday, May 11 21:19:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lecce logo

Atalanta
1 - 1
Lecce

Retegui (69' pen.)
Zappacosta (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Karlsson (29' pen.)
Gallo (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-3 Como
Saturday, April 19 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Lecce

Though Atalanta sometimes fail to perform on home soil, Lecce are in disarray, with the Salentini's unpopular board forced to issue a vote of confidence in their head coach. Having turned a corner by beating Bologna and Milan, La Dea can win three games on the spin, all but wrapping up Champions League qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
67.56% (0.532 0.53) 19.92% (-0.26 -0.26) 12.52% (-0.273 -0.27)
Both teams to score 45.06% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (0.455 0.45)48.04% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (0.418 0.42)70.21% (-0.417 -0.42)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (0.298 0.3)13.24% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (0.599 0.6)40.02% (-0.598 -0.6)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.94% (-0.164 -0.16)48.06% (0.16399999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.72% (-0.12 -0.12)83.27% (0.12 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.54%
    Lecce 12.52%
    Draw 19.92%
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.77% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.43% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 67.54%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.92%
0-1 @ 4.66% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 12.52%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta BC
Draw
Lecce
Atalanta BC
91.4%
Draw
7.1%
Lecce
1.4%
70
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
0-4
Atalanta
Brescianini (35', 66'), Retegui (45', 57')
de Roon (60'), Ederson (80')
May 18, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 37
Lecce
0-2
Atalanta
De Ketelaere (48'), Scamacca (53')
Hateboer (25'), Bilal Toure (37'), Pasalic (44'), Toloi (67')
Dec 30, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-0
Lecce
Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
1-2
Lecce
Hojlund (87')
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lecce
2-1
Atalanta
Zapata (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli36239457273078
2Inter Milan36238575334277
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma35189850321863
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina351781053351859
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino361014123942-344
12Udinese36128163951-1244
13Genoa36913143245-1340
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3696213164-3333
16Parma36614164156-1532
17Empoli36513182956-2728
18Lecce36610202558-3328
19VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
RMonza3639242764-3718


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