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AFC Wimbledon
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Coventry City

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 1
Coventry

Bugiel (86'), McLean (90+2')
Lewis (17'), Tilley (28'), Ball (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Godden (17' pen.)
Howley (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Coventry
Sunday, August 6 at 12pm in Championship

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-4 Coventry City

While Robins will inevitably rotate his squad for this fixture, their current strength in depth means that it should work to their advantage. Wimbledon may threaten for a time, but we feel that the Sky Blues will run out convincing winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCoventry City
25.63% (1.324 1.32) 25.14% (1.095 1.1) 49.22% (-2.421 -2.42)
Both teams to score 51.99% (-2.118 -2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22% (-3.434 -3.43)50.78% (3.433 3.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32% (-3.107 -3.11)72.67% (3.105 3.11)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.73400000000001 -0.73)34.47% (0.733 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.789 -0.79)71.19% (0.789 0.79)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (-2.32 -2.32)20.65% (2.319 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.78% (-3.794 -3.79)53.22% (3.793 3.79)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 25.63%
    Coventry City 49.21%
    Draw 25.13%
AFC WimbledonDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.861 0.86)
2-1 @ 6.37% (0.175 0.18)
2-0 @ 4.04% (0.387 0.39)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.63%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.55 0.55)
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.934 0.93)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 11.22% (0.73 0.73)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-2 @ 8.86% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.51 -0.51)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.364 -0.36)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.218 -0.22)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 49.21%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Coventry

AFC Wimbledon
Draw
Coventry City
AFC Wimbledon
23.1%
Draw
7.7%
Coventry City
69.2%
26
Head to Head
May 3, 2020 12pm
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Coventry
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Hiwula (27'), Walsh (93')
Dabo (82')
Forss (8' pen.)
Forss (31'), Guinness-Walker (51')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Thomas (61')
Chaplin (75')
Jervis (2')
Wordsworth (78')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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