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Coventry City
Championship
May 27, 2023 at 4.45pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Luton Town

Coventry
1 - 1
Luton

Hamer (66')
McNally (46')
FT
(aet)
Clark (23')
Clark (99')
Luton win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town are promoted to the Premier League for the first time in their history with a penalty-shootout win over Coventry City in the Championship playoff final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Coventry
Wednesday, May 17 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, May 16 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%).

Result
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
38.25%28.6%33.14%
Both teams to score 45.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.39%60.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.3%80.7%
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35%30.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1%66.89%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03%33.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35%70.64%
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 38.25%
    Luton Town 33.14%
    Draw 28.6%
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.31%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 38.25%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.6%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 33.14%

How you voted: Coventry vs Luton

Coventry City
33.6%
Draw
15.5%
Luton Town
50.9%
116
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
gameweek 31
Coventry
1-1
Luton
Godden (45+1' pen.)
Wilson-Esbrand (80'), McFadzean (86')
Wilson-Esbrand (85')
Lockyer (1')
Burke (44'), Osho (45'), Bell (64'), Morris (86')
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Luton
2-2
Coventry
Morris (4', 15')
Onyedinma (31')
Gyokeres (11'), Hamer (61')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Coventry
0-1
Luton

Allen (34'), Clarke-Salter (45+1'), McFadzean (87')
Adebayo (38')
Bell (8'), Cornick (60'), Jerome (66'), Adebayo (68'), Burke (73')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Luton
5-0
Coventry
Adebayo (3' pen., 45+6'), Cornick (18', 58'), Berry (30')

Hamer (17'), Maatsen (62')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
gameweek 37
Luton
2-0
Coventry
Bree (23'), Adebayo (42' pen.)
Nombe (82'), Pearson (90+2')

McFadzean (41')
rhs 2.0
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