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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Coventry City |
24.98% ( -0.98) | 24.61% ( 0.5) | 50.41% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 53.02% ( -2.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.87% ( -2.94) | 49.12% ( 2.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.8% ( -2.71) | 71.19% ( 2.72) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.86% ( -2.38) | 34.13% ( 2.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.17% ( -2.65) | 70.82% ( 2.65) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% ( -0.95) | 19.5% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.62% ( -1.57) | 51.37% ( 1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.98% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.96) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.54) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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