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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Blundell Park
AFC Wimbledon

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Ogundere (7' og.)
Glennon (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davison (34'), Ogundere (43'), Nightingale (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

No team has drawn more home games in League Two than Grimsby (10) this season, and we are predicting another stalemate here. AFC Wimbledon have avoided defeat in 12 of their 22 away league games this term and have enough quality to emerge with a point on the final matchday of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.1% (0.147 0.15) 27.48% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 25.42% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.4% (-0.163 -0.16)59.6% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.07% (-0.125 -0.13)79.93% (0.126 0.13)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5% (-0.239 -0.24)39.5% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81% (-0.223 -0.22)76.19% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 47.09%
    AFC Wimbledon 25.42%
    Draw 27.47%
Grimsby TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.74% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.02% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 25.42%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon

Grimsby Town
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
AFC Wimbledon
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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