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Blackburn logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Hartlepool United

Blackburn
4 - 0
Hartlepool

Wharton (32'), Dack (47'), Dolan (51'), Markanday (73')
Dack (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Crawford (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Hartlepool United

With Tomasson almost certainly making widespread changes to his Rovers side, Hartlepool will feel like the door is slightly ajar when it comes to causing a surprise. However, the home team should still have too much quality in their ranks to earn a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawHartlepool United
47.65% (-0.104 -0.1) 25.81% (0.304 0.3) 26.53% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-1.087 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (-1.342 -1.34)52.81% (1.337 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-1.159 -1.16)74.43% (1.155 1.16)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)22.16% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.44% (-0.918 -0.92)55.55% (0.912 0.91)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (-0.88500000000001 -0.89)34.82% (0.88 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (-0.945 -0.95)71.56% (0.941 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 47.65%
    Hartlepool United 26.53%
    Draw 25.8%
Blackburn RoversDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.399 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.234 0.23)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 26.53%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Hartlepool

Blackburn Rovers
78.9%
Draw
21.1%
Hartlepool United
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2022 7.30pm
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