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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Crawley Town

Brighton
4 - 0
Crawley

Adingra (31'), Sarmiento (48'), Webster (84'), O'Mahony (86')
Ayari (43'), Julio (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Williams (16'), Mullarkey (33'), Bragg (68')
Roles (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Man Utd
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 Crawley Town

Even with a much-changed XI, Brighton should comfortably overcome opponents who were playing in League Two last season, as the Seagulls' squad depth is quite impressive. Crawley will expect to suffer long spells without the ball against their Premier League neighbours, who are sure to score at least once at the Amex. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 53.01%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.91%) and 1-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawCrawley Town
53.01% (0.00099999999999767 0) 21.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 64.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.06% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)33.94% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.94% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.05% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 53.01%
    Crawley Town 25.58%
    Draw 21.41%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.4%
3-0 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 4.37% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.97%
5-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 53.01%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 6.33%
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 25.58%

How you voted: Brighton vs Crawley

Brighton & Hove Albion
88.3%
Draw
7.0%
Crawley Town
4.7%
128
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2019 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crawley
0-1
Brighton
Richards (84' pen.)
Jul 22, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crawley
0-6
Brighton
March (4'), Gross (30'), Hemed (38'), Murphy (42'), Goldson (67'), Murray (77')
Jul 16, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crawley
0-4
Brighton
Kayal (18'), Hemed (32'), Murray (49'), Manu (86')
Jul 22, 2015 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crawley
0-3
Brighton
Stephens (18'), Hemed (23'), Kayal (27')
Jul 23, 2014 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crawley
1-1
Brighton
John (15')
LuaLua (72')
rhs 2.0
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